Final Prediction Market Results
The 98th Academy Awards were held March 15, 2026, and the prediction markets below have settled — the prices show how each closed, not a live race. This page tracks only the 98th markets, so for any 99th Academy Awards markets, check Kalshi and Polymarket directly. Last checked November 13, 2026.
These markets have settled and their prices no longer move.
✨ Animated Short Film
| Film | Kalshi | Polymarket | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Girl Who Cried Pearls | — | 100% | |
| Butterfly | — | 0% | |
| Forevergreen | — | 0% | |
| Retirement Plan | — | 0% | |
| The Three Sisters | — | 0% | |
| Movie A | — | 0% | |
| Movie B | — | 0% | |
| Movie C | — | 0% | |
| Movie D | — | 0% | |
| Movie E | — | 0% | |
| Movie F | — | 0% | |
| Movie G | — | 0% | |
| Movie H | — | 0% | |
| Movie I | — | 0% | |
| Movie J | — | 0% | |
| Movie K | — | 0% | |
| Movie L | — | 0% | |
| Movie M | — | 0% | |
| Movie N | — | 0% | |
| Movie O | — | 0% | |
| another movie | — | 0% |
Last checked 2026-11-13 11:45 UTC
🎬 Documentary Short Film
| Film | Kalshi | Polymarket | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| All the Empty Rooms | — | 100% | |
| Armed Only with a Camera: The Life and Death of Brent Renaud | — | 0% | |
| Children no More: Were and Are Gone | — | 0% | |
| The Devil Is Busy | — | 0% | |
| Perfectly a Strangeness | — | 0% | |
| Movie A | — | 0% | |
| Movie B | — | 0% | |
| Movie C | — | 0% | |
| Movie D | — | 0% | |
| Movie E | — | 0% | |
| Movie F | — | 0% | |
| Movie G | — | 0% | |
| Movie H | — | 0% | |
| Movie I | — | 0% | |
| Movie J | — | 0% | |
| Movie K | — | 0% | |
| another movie | — | 0% |
Last checked 2026-11-13 11:45 UTC
🎭 Live Action Short Film
| Film | Kalshi | Polymarket | Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| The Singers | — | 100% | |
| Butcher's Stain | — | 0% | |
| A Friend of Dorothy | — | 0% | |
| Jane Austen's Period Drama | — | 0% | |
| Two People Exchanging Saliva | — | 0% | |
| Movie A | — | 0% | |
| Movie B | — | 0% | |
| Movie C | — | 0% | |
| Movie D | — | 0% | |
| Movie E | — | 0% | |
| Movie F | — | 0% | |
| Movie G | — | 0% | |
| Movie H | — | 0% | |
| Movie I | — | 0% | |
| Movie J | — | 0% | |
| Movie K | — | 0% | |
| another movie | — | 0% |
Last checked 2026-11-13 11:45 UTC